Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.613661 0.798664 1.008460 1.260863 1.553190 1.878173 2.263804
2025-04-06 0.364730 0.591264 0.883872 1.275014 1.770027 2.362423 3.111518
2025-04-13 0.200537 0.421134 0.749608 1.236351 1.903280 2.752052 3.880486
2025-04-20 0.114158 0.319135 0.671625 1.245165 2.085141 3.207376 4.756886
2025-04-27 0.062982 0.245135 0.609363 1.256551 2.261428 3.659589 5.649789
2025-05-04 0.028557 0.175181 0.527038 1.214690 2.347282 3.986083 6.386197
2025-05-11 0.010553 0.122025 0.452837 1.165943 2.408936 4.273435 7.074405
2025-05-18 0.003729 0.092614 0.415693 1.172525 2.552661 4.680891 7.939497
2025-05-25 0.000604 0.063783 0.363135 1.135703 2.616060 4.966700 8.637613
2025-06-01 0.000102 0.054424 0.361320 1.201191 2.857053 5.529864 9.749506
2025-06-08 NaN 0.040339 0.334279 1.205224 2.987089 5.923779 10.623480
2025-06-15 NaN 0.036827 0.344942 1.296510 3.279873 6.582365 11.902609
2025-06-22 NaN 0.030765 0.341902 1.357193 3.524820 7.181579 13.122001
2025-06-29 NaN 0.023456 0.326431 1.384383 3.708462 7.689359 14.219084
2025-07-06 NaN 0.014667 0.290271 1.349804 3.769227 7.998073 15.022761
2025-07-13 NaN 0.010171 0.273169 1.362484 3.922266 8.462448 16.072826
2025-07-20 NaN 0.006871 0.257853 1.376337 4.076927 8.932469 17.139431
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003396 0.226324 1.332674 4.108003 9.192443 17.884295
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001316 0.195562 1.281183 4.116001 9.410242 18.565074
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000613 0.183165 1.288438 4.250519 9.850288 19.603292
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000123 0.160093 1.249283 4.277684 10.100668 20.343222
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000077 0.164933 1.319189 4.556100 10.804249 21.819446
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000008 0.154152 1.323522 4.683178 11.239251 22.870059